AUS DEM OFF
[experimental educational film | 03:14 Min.]]
Above the rooftops of Offenbach, two ambitious tennis fans meet to spend their lunch break with a sporting match. This meaningful activity is a first small lesson in the theoretical principles of physics, which, alongside practice, are there to be discovered. Beyond that, however, there are also local events [*] of a casual nature [see casuality] that are extremely difficult to calculate...
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CONCLUSION: While the duration of the ball’s fall from the roof to the street -and even the lift resulting from the Magnus force- can be calculated mathematically, it is very difficult and almost impossible to determine how high the probability is of unintentionally shooting down a bird during play and in flight. And although the case is very, very unlikely -even with regular training- it is not entirely excluded (and is historically documented, namely during a doubles match in 2002 and during a training session in 2011, both events in Melbourne).
The law of circumstances in this cinematic case (parameters: 2.5 games per week, 17 minutes per game, among others) would predict that a played ball would hit a bird only after 533 years, or after 6.5 million ball strikes. This corresponds to a probability of 0.1877%. But even the consulted LLM was uncertain when formulating the equation and had to be prompted with factors such as building height and bird population or bird species according to their characteristic flight altitude.
Calculate your own probability using the online Bird-Hit-Calculator [ext. link @ so0n.de].


                                                                                                                                                                         
*) In physics, an “event” is understood to be any physical process that occurs at a specific point in time and location in space.